Gross vs. Net Yield in Tokyo: Reading the Real Cash Flow

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Written by: Licensed real estate broker in Japan, 10 years at a listed real estate company, now a salaried landlord

Run your own numbers

Enter the price, rent, loan and your salary to see the monthly cash flow, the tax refund and a 35-year projection. Runs in your browser.

Open the condo simulator

Short answer

The gross yield is rent ÷ price. It ignores every cost.

In the example a 4.8% gross yield becomes 3.52% after running costs, and the loan turns the month negative.

Three yields for the same condo

¥22,000,000 condo, rent ¥88,000 a month

Gross yield

4.8%

¥1,056,000 ÷ ¥22,000,000

Net yield (NOI)

3.52%

¥775,200 ÷ ¥22,000,000

With the loan

−¥3,892

per month

Listings in Japan advertise the gross yield (表面利回り, hyōmen rimawari). The net yield subtracts running costs; that is roughly what an all-cash buyer earns before income tax. With a loan, what matters is the monthly balance after the loan payment.

The monthly breakdown

Per month
ItemAmount
Rent¥88,000
Management fee−¥8,000
Repair reserve fund−¥6,000
Rent collection fee (5%)−¥4,400
Property tax (¥60,000 a year)−¥5,000
Net operating income¥64,600
Loan payment (¥21M, 1.9%, 35 years)−¥68,492
Monthly balance before tax−¥3,892

The management fee and repair reserve go to the building's owners' association (管理組合). The collection fee goes to the rental management company that finds tenants and collects rent. None of these stop when the unit is empty.

What moves the balance

Effect on one year

Two months vacant
−¥176,000 of rent
Interest rate +1%
about −¥132,000 a year
Repair reserve +¥3,000/month
−¥36,000 a year
Rent −¥3,000/month
−¥36,000 a year

The tax refund in the first years can cover these shortfalls, but it ends (see tax refunds from a rental condo). Plan the property so that the monthly balance is survivable without the refund.

Estimating the rent you will really get

  • Compare current listings, not the rent the seller quotes: look up similar units in the same building or station area, same size and age.
  • Expect rent to fall with age: older one-room units typically lose a little rent each year. The simulator assumes 0.5% a year by default.
  • Check the current lease if the unit is already rented: the rent, the start date, and whether it is above today's market (a high rent can drop when the tenant leaves).
  • Renewal fees and key money vary by area and are not guaranteed; do not count on them in your plan.

A cautious plan uses a rent you are confident of, adds one or two months of vacancy every few years, and still leaves a balance you can carry from your salary.

Test it

In the condo simulator, the 35-year tab lets you add events such as vacancies, a rate rise or a repair reserve increase and see how the long-term balance changes.
Details: master leases, tenant turnover and costs people forget

Master lease (sublease)

Some sellers offer a guaranteed rent: a company leases the unit from you and sublets it. The guaranteed rent is lower than market rent, and contracts usually allow the company to revise it, often every few years. Check the review clause, the notice period and whether you can cancel.

Tenant turnover

  • Cleaning and restoration after a tenant leaves (the owner pays for normal wear and tear).
  • Advertising fees to the leasing agent, often one month of rent.
  • One to three months without rent while the unit is marketed.

Costs that appear later

  • Water heater, air conditioner and kitchen replacement (typically every 10–15 years).
  • Real estate acquisition tax, billed a few months after purchase.
  • Tax-return preparation if you use an accountant.
Frequently asked questions

Q. Is a 5% gross yield good for Tokyo?

A. It is common for central Tokyo one-room condos. Judge the net yield and the monthly balance with your loan instead.

Q. Why is the property tax only ¥60,000?

A. Small condo units have low assessed values and a residential land reduction. Check the actual tax bill from the seller.

Q. Should I prepay the loan?

A. Prepaying lowers the monthly payment or term and reduces rate risk, but also lowers the interest deduction. Compare both in the simulator.

Run your own numbers

Enter the price, rent, loan and your salary to see the monthly cash flow, the tax refund and a 35-year projection. Runs in your browser.

Open the condo simulator

More articles

These articles explain how the system generally works. They are not tax, legal or investment advice for your situation. Check with the tax office, your municipality or a licensed tax accountant.